Champions League Final Man United vs Barcelona today, 
My Advice is to avoid betting on 1×2 for profit… any outcome is possible.
The records shows that bet on over 2.5 goals have some good value. I agree that betting on over in big finals is very risky, but both teams scores and both have missing key defenders.
Over 2.5 – 2.1
Under 2.5 – 1.75
Take Barcelona to Qualify to next stage, the final. Odds are around 1.66. Last week we see they can play football. On the other side Chealsea should be more hard to crack than Real Madrid.
Liverpool to win. Bet half-time/full-time X/1 @ 4.50
The text below is taken from http://www.brighton-webs.co.uk/distributions/poisson_football.asp . Poisson Distribution The Poisson can be used to model soccer matches. The graph below shows the the distribution of goals scored by a team playing at home over a season in a league competition. Their average was 1.00 goals/match.
In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a number of events occurring in a fixed period of time if these events occur with a known average rate and independently of the time since the last event. The Poisson distribution can also be used for [...]
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